Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.172896 0.197341 0.224527 0.257096 0.295170 0.338415 0.391452
2026-01-18 0.137801 0.171082 0.211835 0.265833 0.336123 0.425376 0.548653
2026-01-25 0.114389 0.150853 0.198738 0.267112 0.363685 0.497413 0.700506
2026-02-01 0.098113 0.135657 0.187760 0.266766 0.386059 0.563623 0.855997
2026-02-08 0.085489 0.122903 0.177261 0.263968 0.402568 0.622215 1.010693
2026-02-15 0.075550 0.112312 0.167882 0.260533 0.416299 0.677436 1.170459
2026-02-22 0.069618 0.106795 0.165129 0.266580 0.445644 0.762798 1.401674
2026-03-01 0.062718 0.098796 0.157229 0.262592 0.456569 0.817094 1.586462
2026-03-08 0.057653 0.093117 0.152306 0.262783 0.474613 0.887262 1.819573
2026-03-15 0.053259 0.088022 0.147676 0.262664 0.491743 0.958387 2.072326
2026-03-22 0.050362 0.085158 0.146541 0.268753 0.521845 1.061545 2.425600
2026-03-29 0.047553 0.082125 0.144700 0.273116 0.548974 1.163469 2.804789
2026-04-05 0.044883 0.079133 0.142713 0.277163 0.576738 1.274117 3.245109
2026-04-12 0.042836 0.077100 0.142334 0.284520 0.613339 1.414263 3.815281
2026-04-19 0.040289 0.073847 0.139186 0.285493 0.635349 1.523281 4.333471
2026-04-26 0.037856 0.070575 0.135628 0.285043 0.653844 1.627436 4.875112
2026-05-03 0.035420 0.067065 0.131204 0.282010 0.665379 1.715455 5.397489
2026-05-10 0.033159 0.063706 0.126748 0.278303 0.674552 1.799097 5.938439
2026-05-17 0.031957 0.062418 0.126589 0.284823 0.712140 1.975866 6.900991
2026-05-24 0.029998 0.059366 0.122258 0.280523 0.719229 2.060883 7.541804
2026-05-31 0.028541 0.057263 0.119839 0.280729 0.739245 2.192727 8.441132
2026-06-07 0.027174 0.055243 0.117412 0.280600 0.758350 2.326938 9.419507
2026-06-14 0.026351 0.054351 0.117513 0.287167 0.799026 2.547565 10.923863